South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg has surged to the front of the Democratic presidential field for the first time in Iowa, according to a new Monmouth University poll released Tuesday.
According to Monmouth, 22 percent of likely caucus-goers now list the 37-year-old openly-gay mayor of South Bend, Ind., as their top choice, putting him 3 points ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden (19 percent), 4 points ahead of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (18 percent) and 9 points ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (13 percent).
Monmouth previously surveyed the Hawkeye State in August and found Buttigieg at 8 percent — meaning that he’s gained 14 points in Iowa over the last three months.
“Buttigieg is emerging as a top pick for a wide variety of Iowa Democrats,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. “You really can’t pigeonhole his support to one particular group. He is doing well with voters regardless of education or ideology.”
Less than a third of respondents — 28 percent — said they had firmly decided on which candidate they plan to support in the Feb. 3 caucuses.
“Iowa caucusgoers are used to changing their minds up to the last minute. In fact, some probably even look forward to waiting until caucus night to settle on a candidate,” Murray said. “This all translates to a race that is extremely fluid and will probably stay that way up to Feb. 3.”
Here are the results of the latest Monmouth poll – (the numbers in parenthesis represent standing when combining first and second place results)
• Mayor Pete Buttigieg 22% (37)
• Former Vice President Joe Biden 19% (29)
• Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) 18% (35)
• Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) 13% (25)
• Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) 5% (14)
• Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 3% (9)
• Billionaire Tom Steyer 3% (6)
• Entrepreneur Andrew Yang 3% (4)
The Monmouth University poll was conducted Nov. 7-11, with 451 Iowa voters likely to take part in the state’s Democratic presidential caucuses questioned by live telephone operators. The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.
We’ve been on the go for 14 hours.
There will still be date night. pic.twitter.com/MNUy1CO9SO
— Chasten Buttigieg (@Chas10Buttigieg) November 11, 2019